Traditional risk models ignore public anger signals — until it's too late. We extract early-warning downside signals from global media before they reach price action.
従来のリスクモデルは世論の怒りシグナルを無視します。私たちは株価に反映される前に、グローバルメディアから早期警告シグナルを抽出します。
The GDELT Project is the world's largest open-access event and news archive, monitoring print, broadcast, and web news media in over 100 languages from every corner of the globe, updated every 15 minutes.
We query the gdeltv2.gkg_partitioned table via Google BigQuery, filtering by company name across all media organization mentions, and extract the V2Tone emotional valence score for each article.
GDELTプロジェクトは世界最大のオープンアクセスニュースアーカイブです。100以上の言語で65,000以上のグローバルメディアを15分ごとに監視し、感情トーンスコアを自動算出します。
Raw sentiment scores mean nothing without context. We pass GDELT signals through Claude AI, prompted as a senior quantitative risk analyst with expertise in sentiment contagion and equity drawdowns.
Query GDELT for 24h rolling window vs. 7-day baseline. Calculate rage spike: current negativity ≥ 2× daily average.
Claude identifies root causes from GDELT theme codes — regulatory, ESG, financial scandal, political — and maps to historical drawdown patterns.
JSON-schema-constrained output ensures consistent, machine-parseable reports: rage score, rating, summary, insight, confidence.
Each report delivers a single actionable rating — calibrated to institutional decision-making timelines.
Normal negative press cycle. No deviation from baseline. Standard monitoring posture appropriate.
通常のネガティブ報道サイクル。ベースラインからの乖離なし。標準的な監視体制が適切。
Elevated negativity above baseline. Monitor for escalation. No immediate portfolio action required.
ベースラインを上回るネガティブ感情。エスカレーションを監視。即時のポートフォリオ対応は不要。
Significant anger signal with 1–2 week price risk window. Defensive positioning and hedging analysis warranted.
1〜2週間の株価リスクウィンドウ。守備的ポジショニングとヘッジ分析を推奨。
Severe backlash. Material downside risk within 30 days. Short positioning or put protection strongly indicated.
深刻な反発。30日以内に重大な下落リスク。ショートポジションまたはプットオプションによる保護を強く推奨。
Viral outrage / boycott-level event. Immediate material drawdown expected. Urgent risk committee escalation required.
バイラルな怒り・不買運動レベル。即時の重大な株価下落が予想。緊急のリスク委員会エスカレーションが必要。
Screen your entire coverage universe for sentiment deterioration before earnings season. Identify which names carry elevated reputational risk.
Add a media-anger dimension to your existing risk models. Get early warning on reputational tail risks before they impact your book.
Identify high-probability short setups where public anger is accelerating before price discovery. Find entries before consensus forms.
Join institutional investors using media anger signals to get ahead of downside risk.
機関投資家と同じ情報で、リスクを先読みしましょう。